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Opinion poll predicts 18 seats for Kejriwal’s party, hung house in Delhi

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Opinion poll predicts 18 seats for Kejriwal’s party, hung house in Delhi

arvind-kejriwal11NEW DELHI: With nearly 2 months to travel to the Delhi assembly elections, the Arvind Kejriwal-led Aam Aadmi Party (AAP) is gathering momentum, creating it a genuinely triangular contest, an public opinion poll has advised. internet outcome, the poll projects, is probably going to be a hung assembly with no party in a position to create the govt.

The poll, conducted by AC Nielsen for ABP News, indicates that AAP can win 26th of the votes and eighteen seats within the 70-member assembly. a similar agency’s poll in August had expected 15 august 1945 of votes and simply eight seats for AAP.

It additionally indicates that Arvind Kejriwal is that the most preferred CM candidate with 32nd backing him, against 27th every for CM Sheila Dikshit and BJP’s Vijay Goel.

The poll comes that BJP can emerge because the largest party with twenty eight seats and thirty fourth votes, whereas Congress can end second with twenty two seats and twenty seventh of the votes.

For each these parties, the newest seat tallies ar down from what was expected within the August survey. That round had calculable that BJP would win thirty two seats and Congress twenty seven.

What would be worrying the 2 national parties most concerning these projections, if they believe them, would be that the new entrant to Delhi’s politics is already snapping shut on the heels of Congress and isn’t too so much behind BJP in each seats and votes. What if this momentum continues, may well be the big question within the minds of their leaders.

 

The eleven percentage point surge in AAP’s vote share between the August and October polls has come back for the most part from intake into the votes of ‘others’ within the fray. that might spell trouble for BSP. BJP, in fact, is shown as holding the thirty fourth vote share it had within the August poll, whereas Congress’ share is down by 2 proportion points from the sooner estimate.

In the CM stakes too, Kejriwal’s jump from pure gold in August to thirty second within the latest poll hasn’t come back at the expense of either Dikshit or Goel. In fact, those 2 have additionally gained from 22nd and 26th severally 2 months agone. the share of these who indicated in ‘no preference’ is down from 14 July in August to twenty currently, and also the bulk of that looks to possess gone Kejriwal’s means.

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